Maricopa County Becomes Ground Zero for Election Conspiracy Theories Ahead of Midterms
President Trump and his allies revive claims of a rigged election in the county as they prepare for the upcoming midterm elections.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 19 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 55% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. Feed: All Latest published first, on 19 October at 10:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 54% — the market puts it at 55%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Katie Hobbs receives at least 54% of the popular vote in Maricopa County during the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. The outcome depends on the certified percentage from that specific county, not the statewide results or early reporting data.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi At least 54% 55%
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In this story
- Maricopa County
- Arizona
- Donald Trump