Manzambi seals Aston Villa win to highlight Newcastle's dismal week
The Swiss midfielder scores as Aston Villa defeat Newcastle, validating the club's decision to hijack his transfer for a record fee.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 19 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 57% |
| 19 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 58% |
| 17 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 58% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 17 October at 18:38 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 58%, with $23k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. Manchester City must win the match against Aston Villa within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time, for the outcome to be Yes. The result does not count if the game goes to extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a loss in regular time still counts as a potential win if City performs well later.
- Aston Villa — the market puts it at 1%, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Aston Villa wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about their current form or other competitions, but only the final standings of the 2026-27 Premier League season matter.
- Aston Villa — the market puts it at 3%, closing 5 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Aston Villa wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. The outcome is No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this market for predicting Champions League results, but only the FA Cup title matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Manchester City 58%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Aston Villa 1%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Aston Villa 3%
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In this story
- Aston Villa
- Johan Manzambi
- Newcastle