Manchester City top WSL as Arsenal draw with Birmingham
Manchester City remain at the summit of the Women's Super League with a perfect record while Arsenal are held to a 1-1 draw by Birmingham.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 85% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 90% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 83% |
| 16 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 81% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 82% |
| 11 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 80% |
| 11 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 02:39 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 13:35 UTC | 76% |
| 9 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 80% |
| 9 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 75% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 76% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 82% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Oct, 05:30 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 75% |
| 2 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 82% |
| 2 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 98% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 19 October at 11:01 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal: 75+ Points — the market puts it at 85%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. Arsenal must finish the 2026-27 English Premier League season with at least 75 points for the outcome to be Yes. The final league table determines the result, not any single match or interim standings.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 89%, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal finishes in the top two of the 2026-27 English Premier League season. It resolves to No if they finish third or lower. Readers often mistake the linked Champions League headline for the resolution criteria, but only the final league standings matter.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 99%, closing 14 Jun 2027. Arsenal must finish in the top half of the 2026-27 English Premier League table for the market to resolve to Yes. The final league standings at the end of that specific season determine the outcome. Readers often mistake current form or other competitions like the WSL for the deciding factor.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Arsenal: 75+ Points 85% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 89% −6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Manchester City
- Birmingham