Judge weighs if Trump can charge $100K for early access to Truth Social posts
Judge questioned if Trump delaying access to Truth Social posts by a second harms the press.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 75% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 45% |
| 10 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 36% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 35% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 42% |
| 7 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 35% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. Ars Technica published first, on 8 October at 20:53 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 45%, closing 1 Jan 2027. A court must issue an injunction stopping Trump Media & Technology Group from giving paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before January 1, 2027. The outcome is Yes if such a ruling occurs and No if it does not. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the linked news story rather than the final cutoff date of January 1, 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 45%
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