French minister accuses Elon Musk of online harassment against European leaders
Jean-Noël Barrot claims the X owner orchestrated campaigns to destabilise France ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 14 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 14 October at 12:39 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk is formally charged with a crime in Spain or France between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such charge occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story for a formal legal charge, but only an official indictment counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Yes 1%
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In this story
- Jean-Noël Barrot
- Elon Musk