Former Lawmakers Warn Trump Seasonal Tariffs Threaten Food Security
Former representatives argue the administration should reject proposed protections for Florida growers to avoid disrupting supply chains and inviting retaliation.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 12 Oct, 19:01 UTC | 29% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 36% |
| 11 Oct, 02:11 UTC | 37% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 34% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 31% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 39% |
| 8 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 36% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 9 October at 11:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 29%, with $35 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump takes executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country with an effective date in October 2026. The market resolves to No if this specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the effective date, but only the specified effective date matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Yes 29% −8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Christopher Shays
- Richard Swett
- Trump administration
- Florida
- Mexico