Florida Gov Candidate David Jolly Faces Scrutiny Over Former Boss's Fraud Indictment

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 15 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 15 October at 17:25 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• At least 46% — the market puts it at 59%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if David Jolly receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. The outcome depends on the certified percentage of votes he receives, not just the final winner. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the election occurs rather than when the results are officially certified.
• David Jolly — the market puts it at 21%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome "Yes" occurs if a Democratic Party representative is inaugurated as Governor of Florida following the 2026 election. The outcome "No" applies if any other candidate wins or if no inauguration takes place. Readers often mistakenly believe that winning the election alone determines the resolution, but the official rule specifies that the individual must be inaugurated.
• At least 48% — the market puts it at 94%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if David Jolly receives at least 48% of the popular vote in Palm Beach County during the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. The final certified vote count from official election authorities determines the outcome. Readers often mistake the statewide result for the specific county requirement.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.