Diverse Georgia County Could Flip Multiple US Elections
Gwinnett county's demographic diversity makes its voting patterns decisive for upcoming congressional races.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 10 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 16% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 12 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 12 October at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 66% — the market puts it at 16%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jon Ossoff receives at least 66% of the popular vote in Gwinnett County during the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election. The outcome depends on the certified percentage from that specific county, not the statewide results or any other jurisdiction. Readers often mistake the deadline for the general election date rather than the certification of the Gwinnett County vote count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi At least 66% 16%
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In this story
- Gwinnett county
- Georgia
- United States
- Johanna Park