Conservative Lawyer Paul Clement Prepares for Supreme Court Argument
Paul Clement prepares to argue a case before the Supreme Court, continuing his record of challenging Trump administration policies.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 12% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Oct 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 13 October at 20:03 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals — the market puts it at 12%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if exactly seven Supreme Court justices are appointed by Republican presidents and two are appointed by Democratic presidents on January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that specific composition does not exist on that date. Readers often mistake the appointment date for the resolution date or assume current appointments count toward the final tally.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals 12%
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In this story
- Paul Clement
- Supreme Court