CME Plans Tungsten Futures as Global Prices Surge
The exchange will launch the derivatives market in early 2027 to address price stability amid rising demand for weapons.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 6% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 19 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 19 October at 10:30 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 2h 27m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 19 October at 12:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- CME Group — the market puts it at 6%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if CME Group launches a token between issuance and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such launch occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the news headline about tungsten futures for the actual event required for resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi CME Group 6%
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In this story
- CME Group
- China