China’s Property Crisis Deepens as Evergrande Collapse Highlights Sector Struggles
Real estate values continue to plummet while developers face collapse amid Beijing's latest measures.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 1 October at 00:24 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- China — the market puts it at 1%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if China records two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the start date for the beginning of 2025.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi China 1%
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In this story
- China
- Evergrande
- Beijing