Brazil's Picanha Prices Highlight Lula's Election Promises
The cost of picanha beef serves as a key issue in Brazil's election, contrasting with President Lula's previous pledge to make the cut affordable for citizens.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 22:28 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. NPR World published first, on 1 October at 10:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 50% — the market puts it at 7%, closing 4 Oct 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receives at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. It resolves to No if he receives less than 50%. Readers often mistake the headline’s mention of a ban on online gambling for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on his certified vote share.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi At least 50% 7%
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In this story
- Lula
- Brazil