Democratic party
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$52
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Washington for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake this question about a future Senate seat for the linked story about a current mayoral election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 4%