Democratic party
Why it moved: +5 points at 03:55 UTC, after France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Key US Senate results: Democrats wrest North and South Carolina from the Republicans — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Democrat is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from North Carolina for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No if that specific condition is not met. Readers often mistake the date of election victory for the resolution deadline, but only the swearing-in date matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%