Democratic party
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$24
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 3 Nov, 00:45 UTC | 98% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Connecticut for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake this question about a Senate seat for one regarding the House of Representatives, which is where Luke Bronin won.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%