Democratic party
Implied probability 36%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 22 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as an Alaska Senator starting in 2029. It resolves to No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the lawsuit filing date for the deadline, but only the actual swearing-in matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%