Democratic Sweep
Why it moved: +8 points at 07:20 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Democrats Sweep Control of US Congress in Rebuke to Trump — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Democrats win the presidency and control both the House and the Senate in the 2028 election. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about the 2026 elections for the decisive event, but only the 2028 results determine the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%