Katie Zacharia
Implied probability 18%−4
24-hour volume$287
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 34% |
| 22 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 20% |
| 21 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 33% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Katie Zacharia holds any administration role other than White House Press Secretary for President Trump before November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not hold such a role by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of her current term rather than the specific calendar date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%