Above 13.1M
Implied probability 99%+99
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +99 points at 18:05 UTC, after All Content from Business Insider: Only 10 artists have topped the Billboard chart with 10 different albums — here they all are — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Taylor Swift’s Global daily views on YouTube exceed 13.1 million at any time between October 19 and October 25, 2026. The outcome is No if her views never reach that threshold during this specific week. Readers often mistake the source of truth for Billboard charts instead of YouTube view counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%