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Elena Rybakina

Implied probability 62%+16
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves5 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +17 points at 12:32 UTC, after Times of India: Elena Rybakina clinches year-end world No. 1 ranking for first time ahead of WTA Finals — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Elena Rybakina
0%50%100%62%28 Oct, 11:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now62%
29 Oct, 12:32 UTC62%
29 Oct, 12:25 UTC45%
28 Oct, 11:28 UTC41%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 WTA Tokyo professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year instead of the conclusion of this particular tournament.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 62%
  • No 38%

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