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Naomi Osaka

Implied probability 27%+6
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves5 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +6 points at 01:07 UTC, after Latest articles: Naomi Osaka makes stylish return to Tokyo with victory at Pan Pacific Open — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Naomi Osaka
0%50%100%27%27 Oct, 00:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now27%
28 Oct, 01:07 UTC27%
27 Oct, 00:43 UTC21%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Naomi Osaka wins the 2026 WTA Tokyo professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake this for any tournament victory, but only the 2026 WTA Tokyo title counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 27%
  • No 73%

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