World Trade Organization
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 19:05 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the United States fully withdraws from the World Trade Organization before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the removal of a single country from a trade program for the US leaving the organization entirely.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%