At least $8.71
Implied probability 47%+44
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 20:08 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 5% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator in October 2026 reaches at least $8.71. It resolves to No if that average price stays below $8.71. Readers often mistake the specific month (October 2026) for the entire year or assume any single high price counts instead of the monthly average.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 47%
- No 53%