At least 7 weeks
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$4
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 01:00 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift holds the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart for a total of at least seven weeks during 2026. It resolves to No if she fails to reach that duration within that specific year. Readers often mistake the linked story about her Nashville Songwriters Hall of Fame induction as relevant, but only her Billboard 200 performance in 2026 matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%