USA
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 41% |
| 16 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 38% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the United States is officially named as a host nation for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and this announcement comes from one of the designated Source Agencies. The outcome is No if the USA does not receive this confirmation from those specific sources. Readers often mistake the linked story about Netflix’s 2030 rights deal as relevant, but only the FIFA host announcement matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 53%
- No 47%