Above 100 thousand
Why it moved: +60 points at 11:24 UTC, after Bloomberg Technology: Verizon Raises 2026 Forecast After Big Jump in Phone Customers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Verizon reports more than 100,000 new postpaid phone customers in the third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if the number is 100,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the reporting deadline for the end of the quarter instead of the specific date Verizon releases its earnings.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%