Elon Musk
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$68k
Liquidity$68k
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 00:13 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk formally accepts the Republican Party's vice presidential nomination in 2028. It resolves to No if he does not accept this specific nomination within that election cycle. Readers often mistake news about his involvement in other roles, such as leading a Pentagon study, for acceptance of the vice presidential bid.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%