Donald J. Trump
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$172k
Liquidity$172k
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald J. Trump formally accepts the Republican nomination for Vice President in 2028. It resolves to No if he does not accept that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the linked story about Democrats and Hegseth as relevant, but only Trump's acceptance of the VP role matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%