At least 70%
Why it moved: +8 points at 13:17 UTC, after CoinDesk: Sherrod Brown's Ohio edge threatens a rough go for crypto next year — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 1 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sherrod Brown receives at least 70% of the vote in the Franklin County, Ohio special election. The outcome depends on the certified popular vote count from that specific county. Readers often mistake the deadline or confuse this local result with the statewide election total.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%