At least 66%
Implied probability 76%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 1 Nov, 15:44 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Xavier Becerra receives between 66% and 100% of the popular vote in Los Angeles County during the 2026 gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if his share falls below 66%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the primary victory mentioned in the headline, but the resolution depends solely on the final certified results of the general election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%