United Kingdom
Implied probability 96%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves18 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 05:52 UTC | 96% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if UK holdings of U.S. Treasury securities in December 2026 exceed those from December 2025 in the first non-preliminary Table 5 edition containing the 2026 data. The outcome is No if the 2026 figure does not surpass the 2025 figure. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about borrowing for the relevant metric, but only the specific Treasury holdings data matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%