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Conservative party

Implied probability 21%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves31 Aug 2029
How the odds moved · Conservative party
0%50%100%21%29 Oct, 07:05 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now21%
29 Oct, 07:05 UTC21%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the Conservative party wins the most seats in the next UK general election. The outcome is No if any other party wins the most seats. Readers often mistake this market for a prediction about Indian politics due to the linked story, but it strictly concerns the results of the UK general election.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 21%
  • No 79%

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