Alan Campbell
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Alan Campbell leaves the Burnham Cabinet before January 1, 2028. The outcome is No if he does not leave by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a meeting with Trump as the resolution event, but only his actual departure from the cabinet counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%