Islam Makhachev
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Islam Makhachev holds the UFC Lightweight Title on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not hold that title at that specific time. Readers often mistake the date of his next fight for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%