Netherlands wins by more than 2.5 goals
Implied probability 25%+2
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 18:00 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Sept, 17:42 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Netherlands must win the match by three or more goals for the outcome to be Yes. The result counts only after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Readers often mistake the final score including extra time as the deciding factor.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%