Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico
The market favoured Yes at 55% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 56% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%