Before Jan 2030
Implied probability 64%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an official announcement confirms a new A Court of Thorns and Roses book releases before January 1, 2030. The outcome is No if no such announcement occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the actual publication date for the required announcement date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%