Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 31%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 30% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump makes at least one statement explicitly calling for John Thune to resign, step down, be replaced, or be removed from his position as Senate Majority Leader before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake any criticism of Thune for a call to remove him; only explicit demands count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 69%