Make Iran Great Again
Why it moved: −3 points at 00:28 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Iran war live: Pezeshkian says Middle East can solve own issues without US — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump states "Make Iran Great Again" or a variation of that phrase between October 1, 2026 at 10:00 am ET and November 1, 2026 at 12:00 am ET. The outcome is No if he does not make this specific statement within that exact window. Readers often mistake the deadline for a different date or assume any similar slogan counts instead of the precise phrase.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%