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Oracle / ORCL

Implied probability 6%−1
24-hour volume$2
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Nov 2026

Why it moved: −17 points at 21:30 UTC, after Inc.: Oracle Is Offering Small Businesses $12,000 a Year in Cloud Credits. Here’s How to Apply — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Oracle / ORCL
0%50%100%6%27 Oct, 00:45 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
28 Oct, 21:30 UTC6%
28 Oct, 21:22 UTC23%
27 Oct, 00:45 UTC20%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

For the outcome "Yes" to be true, Donald Trump must explicitly state "Oracle / ORCL" or a plural/possessive form of it between October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and November 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. The outcome "No" applies if this specific statement does not occur within the designated timeframe.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 6%
  • No 94%

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