Make Iran Great Again
Implied probability 3%+1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump states "Make Iran Great Again" or a grammatical variation of that phrase between October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and October 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the day on October 25 rather than midnight on October 26.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%