Pete Hegseth
Implied probability 60%
24-hour volume$8
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term and before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of the pardon for any government official rather than specifically requiring action by the President.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%