Dividend / Stimulus
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$337
Total volume$44k
Liquidity$44k
Resolved10 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 98% |
| 26 Oct, 21:01 UTC | 83% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%