Ford / General Motors / GM
Why it moved: +4 points at 04:49 UTC, after News - South China Morning Post: Trump hails tariffs for new US$4.2 billion Audi plant in Georgia — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 25 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 90% |
| 25 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 89% |
| 25 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly names Ford, General Motors, or GM during his Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan on October 25, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about where these companies will build plants, but it depends solely on what Trump says at that specific event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%