Pipeline
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 94% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 0% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions the Pipeline during his Midterm Rally in Wasilla, Alaska on October 13, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not mention it at that specific event. Readers often mistake this for a resolution based on general statements about the pipeline rather than the exact speech at the scheduled rally.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%