Event does not qualify
Implied probability 2%+1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 07:30 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if no qualifying event occurs. The linked story about Trump rally rhetoric does not count as a qualifying event because it is not part of the resolution criteria. Readers often mistakenly believe that any significant news related to the topic triggers the market, but only specific events defined in the rules matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%