Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$23k
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolved22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 0% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%