Crypto / Bitcoin
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$57k
Total volume$82k
Liquidity$82k
Resolved15 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 00:33 UTC | 2% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%