Elon Musk
Implied probability 87%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet or speak by phone in October 2026. It resolves to No if this interaction does not occur during that month. Readers often mistake the linked news story about TSMC for the resolution criteria, but only a direct contact between Trump and Musk counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 87%
- No 13%