NewsMarkets

Markets

Abelardo de la Espriella

Implied probability 25%−13
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Abelardo de la Espriella
0%50%100%25%13 Oct, 13:41 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now25%
14 Oct, 04:34 UTC25%
13 Oct, 13:41 UTC38%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Abelardo de la Espriella meet in person between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the actual event, but only a direct meeting between these two specific individuals counts toward resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 25%
  • No 75%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market